Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日東京最低氣溫？
8月9日東京最低氣溫？
26°C 53%
25°C 17%
23°C 5%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
11%
25°C
37%
26°C
53%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C或更高
<1%
26°C 53%
25°C 17%
23°C 5%
24°C 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
21°C或以下
$71 交易量
<1%
22°C
$71 交易量
1%
23°C
$37 交易量
5%
24°C
$37 交易量
11%
25°C
$37 交易量
37%
26°C
$72 交易量
53%
27°C
$77 交易量
4%
28°C
$23 交易量
4%
29°C
$71 交易量
1%
30°C
$47 交易量
1%
31°C或更高
$47 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$590結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$590結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models indicate Tokyo's overnight low on August 9 will likely settle near 25–26°C, driven by persistent above-normal summer warmth, elevated humidity that suppresses radiative cooling, and limited cloud cover allowing heat retention. With August 2026 already trending 1–2°C warmer than the 24°C climatological baseline for minimums, traders have concentrated probability on these outcomes as the most consistent with current guidance. No significant frontal passage or typhoon influence is projected in the short term to alter the pattern before resolution, though minor model spread keeps 24°C and 27°C as viable edges.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions