Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Busan likely reaching 31–32 °C on August 9, driven by persistent high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical late-summer humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Scattered convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms expected late in the day could cap the peak slightly below model guidance or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, creating the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical climatology places the August 9 average high near 29 °C, so current warmth reflects above-normal conditions; updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日釜山的最高溫度?
32°C 31%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
32°C 31%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
31%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast models from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate a daily maximum in Busan likely reaching 31–32 °C on August 9, driven by persistent high pressure, warm sea-surface temperatures in the Korea Strait, and typical late-summer humidity that limits nocturnal cooling. Scattered convective clouds and isolated thunderstorms expected late in the day could cap the peak slightly below model guidance or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher, creating the near-even split between the 31 °C and 32 °C outcomes. Historical climatology places the August 9 average high near 29 °C, so current warmth reflects above-normal conditions; updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions