**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月9日成都最高溫度？
8月9日成都最高溫度？
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
16%
34°C
29%
35°C
30%
36°C
14%
37°C或以上
5%
35°C 30%
34°C 29%
33°C 16%
36°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
27°C或以下
$349 交易量
<1%
28°C
$10 交易量
1%
29°C
$15 交易量
1%
30°C
$25 交易量
1%
31°C
$433 交易量
2%
32°C
$137 交易量
7%
33°C
$199 交易量
16%
34°C
$363 交易量
29%
35°C
$510 交易量
30%
36°C
$317 交易量
14%
37°C或以上
$2,660 交易量
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$5,017結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,017結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Short-term meteorological forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration point to peak temperatures in Chengdu around 34–35°C on August 9, supporting the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes.** Summer monsoon patterns, high humidity, and scattered thunderstorms typical of the Sichuan Basin often moderate daytime maxima while allowing brief clearing that pushes readings into the mid-30s. Historical August baselines average highs near 32°C, with recent years showing an uptick in days exceeding 35°C amid warmer regional conditions. Model consensus on steering flows and cloud cover will determine whether the high settles at 34°C or edges to 35°C, with any stronger convective activity likely capping it lower. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions