Current forecast models project Istanbul highs near 30–31°C on August 9 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C. This reflects trader emphasis on moderating influences including consistent Bosphorus sea breezes, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C at official stations, and possible afternoon cloud development that limits solar heating. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, with resolution depending on Turkish Meteorological Service observations that account for urban heat islands versus coastal cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of maximum temperature or localized wind shifts create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above align with limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於伊斯坦布爾8月9日的最高溫度？
伊斯坦布爾8月9日的最高溫度？
27°C 43%
28°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
10%
27°C
43%
28°C
37%
29°C
12%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C
2%
33°C或更高
<1%
27°C 43%
28°C 37%
29°C 12%
26°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-09
23°C或以下
$35 交易量
<1%
24°C
$18 交易量
<1%
25°C
$38 交易量
3%
26°C
$21 交易量
10%
27°C
$1,672 交易量
43%
28°C
$47 交易量
37%
29°C
$23 交易量
12%
30°C
$44 交易量
2%
31°C
$29 交易量
2%
32°C
$5 交易量
2%
33°C或更高
$29 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Istanbul highs near 30–31°C on August 9 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C. This reflects trader emphasis on moderating influences including consistent Bosphorus sea breezes, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C at official stations, and possible afternoon cloud development that limits solar heating. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, with resolution depending on Turkish Meteorological Service observations that account for urban heat islands versus coastal cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of maximum temperature or localized wind shifts create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above align with limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,960結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models project Istanbul highs near 30–31°C on August 9 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C. This reflects trader emphasis on moderating influences including consistent Bosphorus sea breezes, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C at official stations, and possible afternoon cloud development that limits solar heating. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, with resolution depending on Turkish Meteorological Service observations that account for urban heat islands versus coastal cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of maximum temperature or localized wind shifts create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above align with limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,960結束日期
2026-08-09市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models project Istanbul highs near 30–31°C on August 9 under stable high-pressure conditions and mostly sunny skies, yet market-implied odds cluster tightly around 27–28°C. This reflects trader emphasis on moderating influences including consistent Bosphorus sea breezes, which can suppress peak readings by 1–3°C at official stations, and possible afternoon cloud development that limits solar heating. Historical August maxima average 28–30°C, with resolution depending on Turkish Meteorological Service observations that account for urban heat islands versus coastal cooling. Minor model disagreements on exact timing of maximum temperature or localized wind shifts create the narrow spread between leading outcomes, while lower probabilities for 29°C or above align with limited intensification potential absent stronger southerly flow. Updated model runs and short-range guidance ahead of the date remain the key variables for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions