Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月7日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
42%
29°C
38%
30°C
7%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 38%
27°C 13%
30°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-07
24°C或以下
$628 交易量
<1%
25°C
$589 交易量
<1%
26°C
$538 交易量
2%
27°C
$633 交易量
13%
28°C
$1,035 交易量
42%
29°C
$910 交易量
38%
30°C
$389 交易量
7%
31°C
$299 交易量
<1%
32°C
$367 交易量
<1%
33°C
$514 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$746 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,648結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,648結束日期
2026-08-07市場開放時間
Aug 5, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS models points to an afternoon maximum of 28–29 °C in Istanbul on August 7 under persistent high pressure, producing the tight 41.5 % / 37.5 % market split. Local sea-breeze circulation off the Bosphorus and Marmara Sea frequently caps observed peaks 1–3 °C below free-air model values, while urban heat-island effects and exact cloud timing introduce the narrow uncertainty between those two bins. August climatology shows average highs of 28–30 °C, so traders are weighting microscale moderation more heavily than broad model output. The Turkish Meteorological Service station readings will resolve the market, with final model updates expected overnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions