Recent ensemble forecasts from global models place Wuhan's August 6 maximum in the 35–36 °C range, with 37 °C remaining plausible if afternoon mixing strengthens under the subtropical ridge. Persistent high humidity from the East Asian monsoon reduces nocturnal cooling and limits the diurnal range, while the urban heat island effect can add 1–2 °C to official station readings. Minor model spread arises from uncertain timing of scattered convection or thin cloud cover that could shave a degree or allow brief extra warming. With only 48 hours until resolution, the next 00Z and 12Z runs plus local sounding data will tighten the distribution among the closely matched 35 °C, 36 °C, and 37 °C outcomes.