**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, centers on 31–32°C, reflecting typical midsummer conditions along Israel’s Mediterranean coast.** Long-term climatological data place average daily highs near 31°C in early August, with model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and Israel Meteorological Service indicating near-normal values rather than significant departures. Coastal sea breezes and the subtropical ridge maintain stable subsidence without the strong heat advection or Saharan air intrusions that produced extreme readings in prior seasons. Current ensemble forecasts show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher low while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes below 31°C. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next official high-temperature observation from the Tel Aviv station will directly determine settlement, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders have priced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月7日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 13%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 56%
31°C 33%
33°C 13%
34°C 2%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
33%
32°C
56%
33°C
13%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 5, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for the highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 7, 2026, centers on 31–32°C, reflecting typical midsummer conditions along Israel’s Mediterranean coast.** Long-term climatological data place average daily highs near 31°C in early August, with model guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and Israel Meteorological Service indicating near-normal values rather than significant departures. Coastal sea breezes and the subtropical ridge maintain stable subsidence without the strong heat advection or Saharan air intrusions that produced extreme readings in prior seasons. Current ensemble forecasts show limited day-to-day variability, keeping probabilities of 33°C or higher low while assigning minimal weight to cooler outcomes below 31°C. With resolution less than 24 hours away, the next official high-temperature observation from the Tel Aviv station will directly determine settlement, underscoring the narrow uncertainty band traders have priced.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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