**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher. Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日廣州最高溫度？
8月6日廣州最高溫度？
37°C 52%
36°C 28%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
4%
35°C
11%
36°C
28%
37°C
52%
38°C
11%
39°C或以上
3%
37°C 52%
36°C 28%
38°C 11%
35°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
$127 交易量
<1%
30°C
$123 交易量
<1%
31°C
$0 交易量
<1%
32°C
$87 交易量
<1%
33°C
$181 交易量
2%
34°C
$123 交易量
4%
35°C
$136 交易量
11%
36°C
$669 交易量
28%
37°C
$183 交易量
52%
38°C
$131 交易量
11%
39°C或以上
$113 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher.
Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,874結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher.
Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,874結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Subtropical summer conditions in Guangzhou drive the tight market between 36°C and 37°C.** Official and model guidance for 6 August 2026 currently clusters around 34–36°C, with some extended-range outlooks reaching 37°C under clearer skies and stronger daytime heating. Recent July typhoon activity (including Maysak) has left lingering moisture and variable steering flows, which can either enhance cloud cover—capping temperatures near 35°C—or allow stronger insolation that pushes readings higher. Key differentiating factors include forecast discrepancies in cloud fraction, boundary-layer moisture, and local urban heat-island effects, which can add 1–2°C in the city center relative to airport observations. Historical August climatology shows mean daily maxima near 33°C but frequent excursions above 35°C during periods of reduced rainfall. With resolution hinging on the precise maximum recorded by official stations, traders are pricing in model spread and the potential for a brief clear spell or slightly stronger southerly flow. Updated runs from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration will be the next major catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions