Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日北京最低溫度？
9月20日北京最低溫度？
16°C或以下 97%
26°C或以上 90%
17°C 40%
18°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
97%
17°C
40%
18°C
39%
19°C
30%
20°C
26%
21°C
19%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C或以上
90%
16°C或以下 97%
26°C或以上 90%
17°C 40%
18°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
97%
17°C
$0 交易量
40%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
30%
20°C
$0 交易量
26%
21°C
$143 交易量
19%
22°C
$0 交易量
39%
23°C
$0 交易量
39%
24°C
$0 交易量
39%
25°C
$0 交易量
39%
26°C或以上
$0 交易量
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$143結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$143結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecast models from Chinese meteorological sources and international ensembles indicate Beijing's September 20 low will likely fall between 16–21°C under partly cloudy to clearing conditions, with daytime highs near 28°C. Trader sentiment remains closely divided because global and regional models show modest divergence on overnight radiative cooling rates and weak frontal influences, keeping the 26°C-or-higher and 16°C-or-below buckets nearly even. Historical September climatology places typical overnight minima in the mid-to-upper teens, providing context for why probabilities cluster around 17–20°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official China Meteorological Administration guidance expected within 24–48 hours will likely resolve remaining uncertainty before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions