Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 3, driven by peak summer solar insolation, clear skies, light synoptic winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling in the urban coastal plain. These conditions align with the Israel Meteorological Service’s ongoing heat-stress advisories and observed peaks of 34–35°C in late July. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, so the current outlook reflects slightly above-normal persistence rather than extreme anomaly. Trader consensus on the 34°C outcome as the modal resolution reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability mass on 33°C and 35°C capturing typical model spread and minor timing uncertainties in the final 48-hour updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月3日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
34°C 60%
35°C 26%
33°C 14%
32°C 3%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
14%
34°C
60%
35°C
26%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
34°C 60%
35°C 26%
33°C 14%
32°C 3%
31°C or below
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
14%
34°C
60%
35°C
26%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C
2%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on August 3, driven by peak summer solar insolation, clear skies, light synoptic winds, and limited sea-breeze cooling in the urban coastal plain. These conditions align with the Israel Meteorological Service’s ongoing heat-stress advisories and observed peaks of 34–35°C in late July. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, so the current outlook reflects slightly above-normal persistence rather than extreme anomaly. Trader consensus on the 34°C outcome as the modal resolution reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability mass on 33°C and 35°C capturing typical model spread and minor timing uncertainties in the final 48-hour updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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