Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who won reelection in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to face off again in the November general election for California's 35th congressional district. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its voter registration edge favoring Democrats. The outcome reflects the seat's established partisan lean in the Inland Empire region, Torres's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics since the prior cycle. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin in a general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,245 交易量
$36,245 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
3%
$36,245 交易量
$36,245 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$20,423 交易量
95%
共和黨
$15,823 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who won reelection in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to face off again in the November general election for California's 35th congressional district. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its voter registration edge favoring Democrats. The outcome reflects the seat's established partisan lean in the Inland Empire region, Torres's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics since the prior cycle. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin in a general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$36,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who won reelection in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to face off again in the November general election for California's 35th congressional district. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its voter registration edge favoring Democrats. The outcome reflects the seat's established partisan lean in the Inland Empire region, Torres's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics since the prior cycle. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin in a general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Norma Torres, who won reelection in 2024 with 58.4 percent of the vote, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Mike Cargile to face off again in the November general election for California's 35th congressional district. Forecasters across outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's D+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and its voter registration edge favoring Democrats. The outcome reflects the seat's established partisan lean in the Inland Empire region, Torres's incumbency advantages in fundraising and name recognition, and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in local dynamics since the prior cycle. Late developments such as unusually high turnout swings or unforeseen candidate issues remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin in a general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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