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icon for 人類由…宣佈破產?

人類由…宣佈破產?

icon for 人類由…宣佈破產?

人類由…宣佈破產?

最新

$27,164 交易量

2027-12-31
Polymarket

$27,164 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 2027年12月31日

2027年12月31日

$8,696 交易量

7%

icon for 2028年12月31日

2028年12月31日

$11,058 交易量

16%

icon for 2029年12月31日

2029年12月31日

$7,410 交易量

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s robust financial trajectory and recent milestones have driven trader consensus toward negligible odds of a bankruptcy announcement. The company reported adjusted operating profits in recent quarters amid revenue surging to an annualized run rate exceeding $65 billion by July 2026, with gross margins above 80 percent before partner shares and training costs. A $65 billion Series H round in May valued it at $965 billion, outpacing OpenAI, while Claude models—particularly coding agents—fuel enterprise adoption and even contribute to 26 percent of internal R&D. CEO Dario Amodei’s earlier hypothetical warnings about cash-burn risks if growth falters contrast sharply with the firm’s path to sustained profitability ahead of a planned IPO. Upcoming catalysts include further S-1 disclosures and model releases that could reinforce or test these dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,164
結束日期
2030-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Anthropic’s robust financial trajectory and recent milestones have driven trader consensus toward negligible odds of a bankruptcy announcement. The company reported adjusted operating profits in recent quarters amid revenue surging to an annualized run rate exceeding $65 billion by July 2026, with gross margins above 80 percent before partner shares and training costs. A $65 billion Series H round in May valued it at $965 billion, outpacing OpenAI, while Claude models—particularly coding agents—fuel enterprise adoption and even contribute to 26 percent of internal R&D. CEO Dario Amodei’s earlier hypothetical warnings about cash-burn risks if growth falters contrast sharply with the firm’s path to sustained profitability ahead of a planned IPO. Upcoming catalysts include further S-1 disclosures and model releases that could reinforce or test these dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$27,164
結束日期
2030-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 17, 2026, 6:37 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"人類由…宣佈破產?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2029年12月31日" at 21%, followed by "2028年12月31日" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "人類由…宣佈破產?" has generated $27.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "人類由…宣佈破產?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "人類由…宣佈破產?" is "2029年12月31日" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2028年12月31日" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "人類由…宣佈破產?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.