Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by northwest winds and clearing skies after recent showers that have kept overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and the potential for slightly stronger cold-air advection, consistent with the below-average conditions observed since August 23. Historical August minima average near 17°C, so these market-implied probabilities aggregate real-time model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread in late-summer boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official low-temperature observations will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
11°C or below 96%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 49%
20°C 27%
11°C or below
96%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
27%
21°C or higher
50%
11°C or below 96%
21°C or higher 50%
12°C 49%
20°C 27%
11°C or below
96%
12°C
49%
13°C
25%
14°C
25%
15°C
26%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
15%
19°C
14%
20°C
27%
21°C or higher
50%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate a minimum temperature near 14°C for Toronto on August 25, driven by northwest winds and clearing skies after recent showers that have kept overnight lows in the 15–16°C range. Trader emphasis on the 11°C-or-below outcome reflects uncertainty in radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and the potential for slightly stronger cold-air advection, consistent with the below-average conditions observed since August 23. Historical August minima average near 17°C, so these market-implied probabilities aggregate real-time model consensus while acknowledging typical forecast spread in late-summer boundary-layer conditions. Updated model runs and official low-temperature observations will determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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