National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
Highest temperature in Seattle on August 23?
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
38%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 42%
72-73°F 38%
76-77°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$315 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$519 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$211 KL.
1%
70-71°F
$650 KL.
8%
72-73°F
$908 KL.
38%
74-75°F
$1,292 KL.
42%
76-77°F
$1,351 KL.
12%
78-79°F
$403 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$59 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$77 KL.
<1%
84°F or higher
$305 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,089Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,089Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and NOAA ensemble guidance for Seattle on August 23 centers on a daily maximum of 73–75 °F under stable onshore flow from the Pacific, minimal cloud cover, and light winds that limit both daytime heating and stronger marine-layer capping. This narrow spread aligns with late-August climatology near Sea-Tac, where seasonal norms hover around 75–76 °F as the Pacific high weakens and marine air intrusions moderate temperatures. Traders have concentrated implied probability on the 72–77 °F bins because recent model runs show little deviation from these conditions and no anomalous warmth or rapid cooling signals, leaving only modest scope for a one-degree shift before official observations finalize the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp