Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23, 2026, project a daytime high near 83°F amid mostly cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and east-to-southwest winds shifting later in the day. This consensus from NWS, WeatherBug, and other models aligns closely with the 82.4°F historical average high for the date, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation potential are limiting upward spikes into the mid-80s or higher, while recent overnight lows in the upper 60s and moderate humidity support stabilization in the low 80s rather than cooler outcomes below 80°F. Updated model runs and any afternoon clearing will be key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 23?
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 4%
$25,292 KL.
$25,292 KL.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 53%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 4%
$25,292 KL.
$25,292 KL.
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
53%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on August 23, 2026, project a daytime high near 83°F amid mostly cloudy skies, a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms, and east-to-southwest winds shifting later in the day. This consensus from NWS, WeatherBug, and other models aligns closely with the 82.4°F historical average high for the date, positioning the 82-83°F bin as the market leader at 52.5% implied probability. Cloud cover and precipitation potential are limiting upward spikes into the mid-80s or higher, while recent overnight lows in the upper 60s and moderate humidity support stabilization in the low 80s rather than cooler outcomes below 80°F. Updated model runs and any afternoon clearing will be key variables for traders monitoring resolution criteria.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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