Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 23?
31°C 97%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,223 KL.
$41,223 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
97%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 97%
32°C 3%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$41,223 KL.
$41,223 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
97%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts for August 23, 2026, project a Tokyo high of 31–32°C under predominantly cloudy skies with a 30% chance of showers, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 30.7°C and recent model consensus. Persistent cloud cover and light easterly flow have limited solar heating through midday observations near 28–30°C, reinforcing trader consensus around the 31°C outcome at 98.5% implied probability. This positioning reflects the strong alignment between verified agency guidance, ensemble runs, and climatological baselines. A sudden shift to clearer conditions or stronger subsidence could allow readings to reach 33–34°C, though current steering patterns and moisture make such intensification unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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