Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum will reach 31 °C, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80 %, and extensive cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Official station reports from Pudong and city forecasts consistently list a peak near 31 °C, with light showers or drizzle expected to further cap any late-day rise. This alignment of real-time data and numerical guidance underpins the market’s 96 % implied probability for 31 °C. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger downslope warming could push readings to 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor a lower outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
31°C 96%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,484 KL.
$52,484 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
96%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 96%
32°C 4%
33°C <1%
26°C or below <1%
$52,484 KL.
$52,484 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
26°C or below
$274 KL.
<1%
27°C
$2,613 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,732 KL.
<1%
29°C
$4,403 KL.
<1%
30°C
$14,106 KL.
<1%
31°C
$8,908 KL.
96%
32°C
$9,537 KL.
4%
33°C
$6,703 KL.
<1%
34°C
$2,427 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,479 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$302 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum will reach 31 °C, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80 %, and extensive cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Official station reports from Pudong and city forecasts consistently list a peak near 31 °C, with light showers or drizzle expected to further cap any late-day rise. This alignment of real-time data and numerical guidance underpins the market’s 96 % implied probability for 31 °C. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger downslope warming could push readings to 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$52,484Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum will reach 31 °C, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80 %, and extensive cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Official station reports from Pudong and city forecasts consistently list a peak near 31 °C, with light showers or drizzle expected to further cap any late-day rise. This alignment of real-time data and numerical guidance underpins the market’s 96 % implied probability for 31 °C. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger downslope warming could push readings to 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor a lower outcome.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$52,484Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological observations and model consensus indicate Shanghai’s daily maximum will reach 31 °C, driven by persistent southeast flow, high humidity near 80 %, and extensive cloud cover that limits afternoon insolation. Official station reports from Pudong and city forecasts consistently list a peak near 31 °C, with light showers or drizzle expected to further cap any late-day rise. This alignment of real-time data and numerical guidance underpins the market’s 96 % implied probability for 31 °C. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger downslope warming could push readings to 32 °C, while heavier or earlier rainfall would favor a lower outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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