**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Beijing on August 23, reflecting official forecasts of partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating.** Moderate humidity (near 70–85%) and light southeasterly winds further moderate maximums, while any earlier or heavier precipitation reduces insolation and prevents stronger warming. Historical late-August averages hover near 30–31°C, so current model consensus slightly above normal supports the narrow edge for 33°C. Real-time station data and final NMC or CMA reports will resolve the market, with cloud timing and convective development remaining the key variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 62%
32°C 29%
34°C 7%
36°C <1%
$36,561 KL.
$36,561 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
29%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 62%
32°C 29%
34°C 7%
36°C <1%
$36,561 KL.
$36,561 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
29%
33°C
62%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus clusters tightly around 32–33°C as the most likely peak for Beijing on August 23, reflecting official forecasts of partly cloudy to overcast conditions with scattered thunderstorms that cap daytime heating.** Moderate humidity (near 70–85%) and light southeasterly winds further moderate maximums, while any earlier or heavier precipitation reduces insolation and prevents stronger warming. Historical late-August averages hover near 30–31°C, so current model consensus slightly above normal supports the narrow edge for 33°C. Real-time station data and final NMC or CMA reports will resolve the market, with cloud timing and convective development remaining the key variables that could shift the outcome between the two leading bins.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp