Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low of 23–25°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar humid, partly cloudy conditions with minimums holding in the low-to-mid 20s, keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.7°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among official guidance, ensemble variability in boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 23°C or hold readings near 25°C. The market resolves on verified observations from the Beijing station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 24?
29°C or higher 48%
25°C 39%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
29°C or higher 48%
25°C 39%
24°C 36%
23°C 26%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
24%
22°C
24%
23°C
26%
24°C
36%
25°C
39%
26°C
26%
27°C
13%
28°C
8%
29°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from sources including the China Meteorological Administration point to an overnight low of 23–25°C for Beijing on August 24, driven by persistent cloud cover, elevated dew points near 24–26°C, and light winds that limit radiative cooling. Recent days have featured similar humid, partly cloudy conditions with minimums holding in the low-to-mid 20s, keeping values well above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 20.7°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread among official guidance, ensemble variability in boundary-layer moisture, and the precise timing of any clearing that could allow slightly deeper cooling toward 23°C or hold readings near 25°C. The market resolves on verified observations from the Beijing station.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp