Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily high near 35°C in Busan on August 23, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow and limited cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. This aligns with climatological peaks for late August, when regional highs commonly reach 30–32°C but can climb several degrees under favorable subsidence and light winds. The market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 35°C reflects this consensus, tempered by typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A late shift in steering patterns or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings at 33–34°C, while localized urban heat effects or model underestimation of insolation might push observations to 36°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on August 23?
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
37°C or higher <1%
27°C or below <1%
$30,731 KL.
$30,731 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
35°C 99%
36°C 2%
37°C or higher <1%
27°C or below <1%
$30,731 KL.
$30,731 KL.
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
99%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate a daily high near 35°C in Busan on August 23, driven by persistent warm, humid southerly flow and limited cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating. This aligns with climatological peaks for late August, when regional highs commonly reach 30–32°C but can climb several degrees under favorable subsidence and light winds. The market's overwhelming 96.5% implied probability on 35°C reflects this consensus, tempered by typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C. A late shift in steering patterns or increased marine layer moisture could cap readings at 33–34°C, while localized urban heat effects or model underestimation of insolation might push observations to 36°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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