Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Busan on August 24?
35°C 46%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
46%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 46%
34°C 24%
36°C 21%
33°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
5%
34°C
24%
35°C
46%
36°C
21%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and international models indicate mostly sunny conditions for Busan on August 24, with daytime highs centered around 32°C amid typical late-summer humidity from the North Pacific High. This baseline, combined with coastal sea breezes that often cap extremes relative to inland areas, positions 34–36°C as the most probable range, explaining the market’s concentration on those outcomes. Historical August averages near 30°C and recent observations of sustained 30–33°C readings support trader focus on modest intensification potential under clear skies, while low probabilities for 37°C+ reflect the low likelihood of extreme heat advection or minimal cloud cover. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine wind and insolation details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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