Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 23?
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 6.9%
31°C 2.6%
$26,387 KL.
$26,387 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
41%
29°C
43%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 41%
30°C 6.9%
31°C 2.6%
$26,387 KL.
$26,387 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
23°C or below
$455 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,688 KL.
<1%
25°C
$858 KL.
<1%
26°C
$1,045 KL.
<1%
27°C
$5,156 KL.
<1%
28°C
$4,781 KL.
41%
29°C
$4,317 KL.
43%
30°C
$2,267 KL.
7%
31°C
$2,126 KL.
3%
32°C
$2,390 KL.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,305 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,387Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$26,387Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts and observational data position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s peak temperature on August 23, with 29°C a close second, reflecting typical late-summer conditions moderated by the Sea of Marmara and light northeasterly flows. Historical August averages place daily highs near 28–30°C, and current model consensus shows no significant heat advection or blocking patterns that would push extremes higher. Urban heat island effects and precise timing at official stations create narrow uncertainty bands, concentrating trader sentiment around these values. Stable atmospheric conditions limit variability, while any late-day warming or measurement adjustments remain secondary factors in the final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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