Forecast models for late August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate indicate a high near 28°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating over the Bosphorus region. Climatological baselines place typical August maxima at 27–30°C, with urban heat island effects and sea surface temperatures near 25°C providing modest moderation through afternoon sea breezes. Recent observational data show stable sunny conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture advection that would alter this range, positioning 28°C as the mode while leaving narrow room for 27°C or 29°C depending on exact wind shifts or boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C 55%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
55%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 55%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
26°C 4%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
19%
28°C
55%
29°C
20%
30°C
4%
31°C
2%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:57 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for late August in Istanbul's Mediterranean climate indicate a high near 28°C on August 24, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light northerly winds, and limited cloud cover that favors strong daytime heating over the Bosphorus region. Climatological baselines place typical August maxima at 27–30°C, with urban heat island effects and sea surface temperatures near 25°C providing modest moderation through afternoon sea breezes. Recent observational data show stable sunny conditions without incoming fronts or significant moisture advection that would alter this range, positioning 28°C as the mode while leaving narrow room for 27°C or 29°C depending on exact wind shifts or boundary-layer mixing. Updated short-range guidance from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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