Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24 near the late-August climatological average of 20–22°C, driven by typical subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 21–23°C outcomes hinges on variable factors such as cloud-cover timing that modulates longwave heat loss, Bosphorus-driven advection altering boundary-layer moisture and temperature, and light wind regimes that either enhance or suppress mixing. Urban heat-island effects and precise station siting add further microscale uncertainty, while the market's spread across warmer or cooler tails reflects residual model spread and potential for brief frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on August 24?
28°C or higher 49%
18°C or below 47%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
47%
19°C
19%
20°C
20%
21°C
28%
22°C
28%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C
6%
28°C or higher
49%
28°C or higher 49%
18°C or below 47%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
18°C or below
$21 KL.
47%
19°C
$5 KL.
19%
20°C
$0 KL.
20%
21°C
$5 KL.
28%
22°C
$5 KL.
28%
23°C
$5 KL.
33%
24°C
$0 KL.
20%
25°C
$5 KL.
8%
26°C
$5 KL.
8%
27°C
$140 KL.
6%
28°C or higher
$150 KL.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24 near the late-August climatological average of 20–22°C, driven by typical subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 21–23°C outcomes hinges on variable factors such as cloud-cover timing that modulates longwave heat loss, Bosphorus-driven advection altering boundary-layer moisture and temperature, and light wind regimes that either enhance or suppress mixing. Urban heat-island effects and precise station siting add further microscale uncertainty, while the market's spread across warmer or cooler tails reflects residual model spread and potential for brief frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$341Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24 near the late-August climatological average of 20–22°C, driven by typical subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 21–23°C outcomes hinges on variable factors such as cloud-cover timing that modulates longwave heat loss, Bosphorus-driven advection altering boundary-layer moisture and temperature, and light wind regimes that either enhance or suppress mixing. Urban heat-island effects and precise station siting add further microscale uncertainty, while the market's spread across warmer or cooler tails reflects residual model spread and potential for brief frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$341Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models place Istanbul's overnight minimum on August 24 near the late-August climatological average of 20–22°C, driven by typical subtropical high pressure promoting clear skies and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling. Differentiation among the tightly bunched 21–23°C outcomes hinges on variable factors such as cloud-cover timing that modulates longwave heat loss, Bosphorus-driven advection altering boundary-layer moisture and temperature, and light wind regimes that either enhance or suppress mixing. Urban heat-island effects and precise station siting add further microscale uncertainty, while the market's spread across warmer or cooler tails reflects residual model spread and potential for brief frontal influences. Updated short-range guidance from regional agencies will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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