Cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northwest flow are positioning the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for Chicago’s August 23 high, with market-implied odds reflecting NWS guidance for a sunny day reaching 76°F. A stable air mass advected from the north has suppressed temperatures well below the late-August climatological average of near 82°F, limiting daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. Recent observations show surface readings in the mid-60s to low-70s under light winds, consistent with model consensus that favors modest warming without significant mixing or southerly return flow. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day uptick against the established cool pattern, with lower-probability bins above 78°F requiring an unexpected shift in steering currents or stronger insolation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 23?
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 1.0%
$24,620 KL.
$24,620 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
59%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 59%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 11%
80-81°F 1.0%
$24,620 KL.
$24,620 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$826 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$828 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$2,984 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,372 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$1,790 KL.
1%
74-75°F
$3,512 KL.
30%
76-77°F
$4,259 KL.
59%
78-79°F
$3,422 KL.
11%
80-81°F
$1,810 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$1,324 KL.
1%
84°F or higher
$1,493 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northwest flow are positioning the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for Chicago’s August 23 high, with market-implied odds reflecting NWS guidance for a sunny day reaching 76°F. A stable air mass advected from the north has suppressed temperatures well below the late-August climatological average of near 82°F, limiting daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. Recent observations show surface readings in the mid-60s to low-70s under light winds, consistent with model consensus that favors modest warming without significant mixing or southerly return flow. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day uptick against the established cool pattern, with lower-probability bins above 78°F requiring an unexpected shift in steering currents or stronger insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,620Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northwest flow are positioning the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for Chicago’s August 23 high, with market-implied odds reflecting NWS guidance for a sunny day reaching 76°F. A stable air mass advected from the north has suppressed temperatures well below the late-August climatological average of near 82°F, limiting daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. Recent observations show surface readings in the mid-60s to low-70s under light winds, consistent with model consensus that favors modest warming without significant mixing or southerly return flow. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day uptick against the established cool pattern, with lower-probability bins above 78°F requiring an unexpected shift in steering currents or stronger insolation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$24,620Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cooler-than-normal conditions driven by northwest flow are positioning the 76-77°F range as the leading outcome for Chicago’s August 23 high, with market-implied odds reflecting NWS guidance for a sunny day reaching 76°F. A stable air mass advected from the north has suppressed temperatures well below the late-August climatological average of near 82°F, limiting daytime heating despite mostly clear skies. Recent observations show surface readings in the mid-60s to low-70s under light winds, consistent with model consensus that favors modest warming without significant mixing or southerly return flow. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for any late-day uptick against the established cool pattern, with lower-probability bins above 78°F requiring an unexpected shift in steering currents or stronger insolation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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