Persistent marine layer influence along the Northern California coast is anchoring San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing mostly cloudy conditions, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and limited warming above the inversion. Recent model runs and observations from August 22 (highs near 68–69°F at SFO) reinforce this pattern, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (34%) to a 72–73°F peak as the consensus range. Stronger onshore flow or deeper stratus would cap readings nearer 68–70°F, while any compression of the marine layer or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief excursions to 74–76°F. Historical August climatology for downtown San Francisco (typical highs 68–72°F) provides the baseline against which these near-term steering and radiative factors are evaluated, with final readings determined by official NWS maximum temperature reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
8%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
72-73°F 32%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 20%
76-77°F 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
65°F or below
$760 KL.
1%
66-67°F
$288 KL.
<1%
68-69°F
$797 KL.
8%
70-71°F
$1,848 KL.
23%
72-73°F
$984 KL.
32%
74-75°F
$1,126 KL.
20%
76-77°F
$1,118 KL.
14%
78-79°F
$362 KL.
2%
80-81°F
$350 KL.
1%
82-83°F
$25 KL.
<1%
84°F or higher
$45 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence along the Northern California coast is anchoring San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing mostly cloudy conditions, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and limited warming above the inversion. Recent model runs and observations from August 22 (highs near 68–69°F at SFO) reinforce this pattern, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (34%) to a 72–73°F peak as the consensus range. Stronger onshore flow or deeper stratus would cap readings nearer 68–70°F, while any compression of the marine layer or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief excursions to 74–76°F. Historical August climatology for downtown San Francisco (typical highs 68–72°F) provides the baseline against which these near-term steering and radiative factors are evaluated, with final readings determined by official NWS maximum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,702Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent marine layer influence along the Northern California coast is anchoring San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing mostly cloudy conditions, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and limited warming above the inversion. Recent model runs and observations from August 22 (highs near 68–69°F at SFO) reinforce this pattern, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (34%) to a 72–73°F peak as the consensus range. Stronger onshore flow or deeper stratus would cap readings nearer 68–70°F, while any compression of the marine layer or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief excursions to 74–76°F. Historical August climatology for downtown San Francisco (typical highs 68–72°F) provides the baseline against which these near-term steering and radiative factors are evaluated, with final readings determined by official NWS maximum temperature reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,702Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent marine layer influence along the Northern California coast is anchoring San Francisco highs in the upper 60s to low 70s on August 23, consistent with National Weather Service guidance showing mostly cloudy conditions, southwest winds of 5–15 mph, and limited warming above the inversion. Recent model runs and observations from August 22 (highs near 68–69°F at SFO) reinforce this pattern, with traders assigning the highest implied probability (34%) to a 72–73°F peak as the consensus range. Stronger onshore flow or deeper stratus would cap readings nearer 68–70°F, while any compression of the marine layer or clearer afternoon skies could allow brief excursions to 74–76°F. Historical August climatology for downtown San Francisco (typical highs 68–72°F) provides the baseline against which these near-term steering and radiative factors are evaluated, with final readings determined by official NWS maximum temperature reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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