Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on August 23?
54-55°F 33%
52-53°F 31%
56-57°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$1,249 KL.
$1,249 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
1%
52-53°F
31%
54-55°F
33%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
61%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
<1%
54-55°F 33%
52-53°F 31%
56-57°F 1.0%
50-51°F <1%
$1,249 KL.
$1,249 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
49°F or below
$113 KL.
<1%
50-51°F
$155 KL.
1%
52-53°F
$5 KL.
31%
54-55°F
$5 KL.
33%
56-57°F
$10 KL.
1%
58-59°F
$179 KL.
61%
60-61°F
$163 KL.
<1%
62-63°F
$105 KL.
<1%
64-65°F
$145 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$195 KL.
<1%
68°F or higher
$174 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,249Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,249Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for San Francisco on August 23, 2026, indicates an overnight low in the upper 50s °F under persistent onshore flow and marine layer influence typical of the region’s summer climate. This aligns closely with the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 56 °F for the date and recent August 2026 observations showing lows of 56–57 °F. The strong market weighting toward 58–59 °F reflects trader assessment of these stable conditions, with lower-probability bins for cooler readings capturing residual uncertainty in fog timing or minor model spread. No significant synoptic shifts, such as offshore flow or anomalous warming, appear in current forecasts to alter the expected range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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