Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 23°C in London on August 24 under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming tempered by residual cloud and stable boundary-layer conditions. Official forecasts distinguish these thresholds through subtle differences in insolation, mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against climatological August averages near 22°C, anticipating minor revisions from the next model cycle that could shift probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in London on August 24?
Highest temperature in London on August 24?
22°C 44%
21°C 38%
23°C 10%
20°C 9%
MỚI
$19,576 KL.
MỚI
$19,576 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
38%
22°C
44%
23°C
10%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 44%
21°C 38%
23°C 10%
20°C 9%
MỚI
$19,576 KL.
MỚI
$19,576 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
17°C or below
$382 KL.
<1%
18°C
$460 KL.
<1%
19°C
$817 KL.
2%
20°C
$1,719 KL.
9%
21°C
$2,177 KL.
38%
22°C
$5,211 KL.
44%
23°C
$1,847 KL.
10%
24°C
$3,021 KL.
1%
25°C
$2,602 KL.
<1%
26°C
$458 KL.
<1%
27°C or higher
$883 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 23°C in London on August 24 under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming tempered by residual cloud and stable boundary-layer conditions. Official forecasts distinguish these thresholds through subtle differences in insolation, mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against climatological August averages near 22°C, anticipating minor revisions from the next model cycle that could shift probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 23°C in London on August 24 under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming tempered by residual cloud and stable boundary-layer conditions. Official forecasts distinguish these thresholds through subtle differences in insolation, mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against climatological August averages near 22°C, anticipating minor revisions from the next model cycle that could shift probabilities between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$19,576Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a maximum of 23°C in London on August 24 under sunny intervals and light northerly winds, yet the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 21–22°C reflects model consensus on modest daytime warming tempered by residual cloud and stable boundary-layer conditions. Official forecasts distinguish these thresholds through subtle differences in insolation, mixing depth, and urban heat-island amplification at official stations. With resolution hinging on the precise peak reading, traders weigh the latest ensemble runs against climatological August averages near 22°C, anticipating minor revisions from the next model cycle that could shift probabilities between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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