National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23, 2026, call for a daily high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover amid an ongoing late-August heat wave. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin at 48% over 98-99°F at 41%, as model consensus and recent observations align on peak temperatures in that narrow range while heat indices exceed 105°F. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight variations in dew points could shift the official reading between bins, with updates from monitoring stations expected throughout the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 23?
100-101°F 61%
98-99°F 41%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4.5%
$31,900 KL.
$31,900 KL.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 61%
98-99°F 41%
102-103°F 6%
96-97°F 4.5%
$31,900 KL.
$31,900 KL.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
5%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
48%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 11:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 23, 2026, call for a daily high near 101°F under mostly sunny skies, light southwest winds, and a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and limited cloud cover amid an ongoing late-August heat wave. This setup supports market-implied odds favoring the 100-101°F bin at 48% over 98-99°F at 41%, as model consensus and recent observations align on peak temperatures in that narrow range while heat indices exceed 105°F. Minor uncertainties in exact timing of any afternoon convection or slight variations in dew points could shift the official reading between bins, with updates from monitoring stations expected throughout the afternoon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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