National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 indicate a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F under southwest winds, consistent with the market's leading 98–99°F (58%) and 100–101°F (27%) outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat wave conditions, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar heating above the 95°F climatological average have driven recent observations to 101–103°F, supporting elevated readings without significant moisture or frontal relief expected. Model consensus and heat index values near 108°F reinforce trader focus on the 98–101°F range, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect typical forecast spread and station measurement variability ahead of morning updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Houston on August 24?
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 57%
100-101°F 27%
96-97°F 10%
102-103°F 4%
91°F or below
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
10%
98-99°F
57%
100-101°F
27%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Houston on August 24 indicate a sunny, hot day with a high near 99–100°F under southwest winds, consistent with the market's leading 98–99°F (58%) and 100–101°F (27%) outcomes. Persistent late-summer heat wave conditions, minimal cloud cover, and strong solar heating above the 95°F climatological average have driven recent observations to 101–103°F, supporting elevated readings without significant moisture or frontal relief expected. Model consensus and heat index values near 108°F reinforce trader focus on the 98–101°F range, while lower probabilities for extremes reflect typical forecast spread and station measurement variability ahead of morning updates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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