Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS position Paris’s August 24 maximum near 27 °C under a northwesterly flow with partly cloudy skies that moderate afternoon insolation after the late-August cool-down. Persistent high pressure near 1015–1018 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer mixing, while any reduction in cloud cover or slight backing of winds could allow a 28 °C reading. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.5 %) to 27 °C because the consensus range across deterministic and probabilistic runs clusters tightly around this value, with the 22.5 % on 28 °C capturing residual uncertainty in diurnal heating and local urban effects. Updated short-range guidance and the final Météo-France bulletin before the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on August 24?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 24?
27°C 49%
28°C 23%
26°C 12%
25°C 8%
MỚI
$23,360 KL.
MỚI
$23,360 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
12%
27°C
49%
28°C
23%
29°C
7%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 23%
26°C 12%
25°C 8%
MỚI
$23,360 KL.
MỚI
$23,360 KL.
Aug 24, 2026
23°C or below
$1,221 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,359 KL.
2%
25°C
$2,550 KL.
8%
26°C
$3,490 KL.
12%
27°C
$4,541 KL.
49%
28°C
$3,668 KL.
23%
29°C
$2,604 KL.
7%
30°C
$1,911 KL.
2%
31°C
$901 KL.
<1%
32°C
$932 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$185 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS position Paris’s August 24 maximum near 27 °C under a northwesterly flow with partly cloudy skies that moderate afternoon insolation after the late-August cool-down. Persistent high pressure near 1015–1018 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer mixing, while any reduction in cloud cover or slight backing of winds could allow a 28 °C reading. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.5 %) to 27 °C because the consensus range across deterministic and probabilistic runs clusters tightly around this value, with the 22.5 % on 28 °C capturing residual uncertainty in diurnal heating and local urban effects. Updated short-range guidance and the final Météo-France bulletin before the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,360Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS position Paris’s August 24 maximum near 27 °C under a northwesterly flow with partly cloudy skies that moderate afternoon insolation after the late-August cool-down. Persistent high pressure near 1015–1018 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer mixing, while any reduction in cloud cover or slight backing of winds could allow a 28 °C reading. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.5 %) to 27 °C because the consensus range across deterministic and probabilistic runs clusters tightly around this value, with the 22.5 % on 28 °C capturing residual uncertainty in diurnal heating and local urban effects. Updated short-range guidance and the final Météo-France bulletin before the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,360Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and global models such as GFS position Paris’s August 24 maximum near 27 °C under a northwesterly flow with partly cloudy skies that moderate afternoon insolation after the late-August cool-down. Persistent high pressure near 1015–1018 hPa and dew points in the low teens support modest boundary-layer mixing, while any reduction in cloud cover or slight backing of winds could allow a 28 °C reading. Traders assign the highest implied probability (48.5 %) to 27 °C because the consensus range across deterministic and probabilistic runs clusters tightly around this value, with the 22.5 % on 28 °C capturing residual uncertainty in diurnal heating and local urban effects. Updated short-range guidance and the final Météo-France bulletin before the 24-hour observation window remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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