Trader consensus has locked onto an 80-81°F high for Chicago on August 22 as the sole outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting official observations from Midway Airport that placed the daily maximum squarely in this narrow band under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. Stable high pressure suppressed stronger warm-air advection while allowing modest diurnal heating near seasonal normals of 82°F, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further rise. This positioning draws strength from the narrow resolution window and direct station data now available. Only a post-event correction to the official record or an atypical sensor discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 22?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$132,785 KL.
$132,785 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
100%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$132,785 KL.
$132,785 KL.
Aug 22, 2026
69°F or below
$12,195 KL.
<1%
70-71°F
$11,771 KL.
<1%
72-73°F
$15,892 KL.
<1%
74-75°F
$12,375 KL.
<1%
76-77°F
$11,535 KL.
<1%
78-79°F
$17,886 KL.
<1%
80-81°F
$17,944 KL.
100%
82-83°F
$10,218 KL.
<1%
84-85°F
$10,555 KL.
<1%
86-87°F
$5,831 KL.
<1%
88°F or higher
$6,583 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto an 80-81°F high for Chicago on August 22 as the sole outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting official observations from Midway Airport that placed the daily maximum squarely in this narrow band under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. Stable high pressure suppressed stronger warm-air advection while allowing modest diurnal heating near seasonal normals of 82°F, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further rise. This positioning draws strength from the narrow resolution window and direct station data now available. Only a post-event correction to the official record or an atypical sensor discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$132,785Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto an 80-81°F high for Chicago on August 22 as the sole outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting official observations from Midway Airport that placed the daily maximum squarely in this narrow band under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. Stable high pressure suppressed stronger warm-air advection while allowing modest diurnal heating near seasonal normals of 82°F, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further rise. This positioning draws strength from the narrow resolution window and direct station data now available. Only a post-event correction to the official record or an atypical sensor discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$132,785Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus has locked onto an 80-81°F high for Chicago on August 22 as the sole outcome at 100% implied probability, reflecting official observations from Midway Airport that placed the daily maximum squarely in this narrow band under partly cloudy skies and northwest flow. Stable high pressure suppressed stronger warm-air advection while allowing modest diurnal heating near seasonal normals of 82°F, with light winds and moderate humidity limiting further rise. This positioning draws strength from the narrow resolution window and direct station data now available. Only a post-event correction to the official record or an atypical sensor discrepancy could realistically alter the outcome, both of which remain statistically improbable given multiple corroborating reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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