Recent short-range model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada shows Toronto's August 25 high near the 24–26°C climatological normal, with trader odds split between a warmer 29°C-plus outcome and cooler 19°C-or-below scenarios reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing. Afternoon insolation under partly sunny skies could support readings near or above 25°C, while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would limit surface heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Steering flow and boundary-layer moisture from upstream systems remain key variables that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees within the final 24-hour forecast window, keeping specific temperature bins near even implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 25?
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 20%
19°C or below 12%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
34%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
9%
25°C 39%
24°C 34%
26°C 20%
19°C or below 12%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C
34%
25°C
39%
26°C
20%
27°C
1%
28°C
6%
29°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model guidance from Environment and Climate Change Canada shows Toronto's August 25 high near the 24–26°C climatological normal, with trader odds split between a warmer 29°C-plus outcome and cooler 19°C-or-below scenarios reflecting uncertainty in cloud cover and convective timing. Afternoon insolation under partly sunny skies could support readings near or above 25°C, while scattered showers or thicker cloud decks would limit surface heating and enhance evaporative cooling. Steering flow and boundary-layer moisture from upstream systems remain key variables that can shift maximum temperatures by several degrees within the final 24-hour forecast window, keeping specific temperature bins near even implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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