Recent ensemble forecasts and the official Environment Canada guidance point to a high near 20°C in Toronto on August 24, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms of 24–25°C. This setup favors 19–20°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and modest northerly flow keep maximums in that narrow band; model spreads across GFS and ECMWF runs reflect modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Trader positioning around these values captures the current consensus from real-time observational trends and short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and midday observations on August 23 will further refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
17°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
22%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 22%
17°C 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
14°C or below
$0 KL.
<1%
15°C
$8 KL.
1%
16°C
$61 KL.
2%
17°C
$248 KL.
7%
18°C
$570 KL.
26%
19°C
$319 KL.
39%
20°C
$395 KL.
22%
21°C
$520 KL.
7%
22°C
$71 KL.
3%
23°C
$15 KL.
1%
24°C or higher
$19 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and the official Environment Canada guidance point to a high near 20°C in Toronto on August 24, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms of 24–25°C. This setup favors 19–20°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and modest northerly flow keep maximums in that narrow band; model spreads across GFS and ECMWF runs reflect modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Trader positioning around these values captures the current consensus from real-time observational trends and short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and midday observations on August 23 will further refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,227Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts and the official Environment Canada guidance point to a high near 20°C in Toronto on August 24, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms of 24–25°C. This setup favors 19–20°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and modest northerly flow keep maximums in that narrow band; model spreads across GFS and ECMWF runs reflect modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Trader positioning around these values captures the current consensus from real-time observational trends and short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and midday observations on August 23 will further refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,227Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and the official Environment Canada guidance point to a high near 20°C in Toronto on August 24, 2026, with widespread cloud cover and a 40% chance of showers limiting solar heating and suppressing temperatures below late-August climatological norms of 24–25°C. This setup favors 19–20°C outcomes, as reduced insolation and modest northerly flow keep maximums in that narrow band; model spreads across GFS and ECMWF runs reflect modest uncertainty from exact cloud timing and any weak frontal passage. Trader positioning around these values captures the current consensus from real-time observational trends and short-range guidance, with lower probabilities assigned to warmer or cooler extremes given the stable synoptic pattern. Updated model runs and midday observations on August 23 will further refine the range before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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