Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 23?
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 KL.
$1,725 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
98%
11°C
5%
12°C
33%
13°C
33%
14°C
33%
15°C
33%
16°C
47%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 98%
16°C 47%
12°C 33%
13°C 33%
$1,725 KL.
$1,725 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
10°C or below
$15 KL.
98%
11°C
$85 KL.
5%
12°C
$0 KL.
33%
13°C
$0 KL.
33%
14°C
$0 KL.
33%
15°C
$0 KL.
33%
16°C
$0 KL.
47%
17°C
$105 KL.
<1%
18°C
$265 KL.
<1%
19°C
$105 KL.
<1%
20°C or higher
$1,150 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,725Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,725Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from Environment Canada and AccuWeather indicate Toronto's overnight low on August 23 will likely settle near 15–17 °C under mostly cloudy skies and light westerly winds, limiting radiative cooling after daytime highs of 20–22 °C. Model consensus shows modest uncertainty from variable cloud thickness and any late-day showers, which could either trap heat or enhance cooling to push the minimum below 16 °C or hold it higher. This places the market-implied odds near even between sub-10 °C extremes and the 16 °C threshold because historical August minima average around 16–17 °C, while recent regional patterns have featured slightly cooler-than-normal Great Lakes influence without strong cold advection. Updated model runs tonight will clarify whether boundary-layer mixing or clearer skies tip the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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