Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low near 14 °C in Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers, keeping trader focus on the 12–14 °C band. Cloudy conditions limit radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while a moist southwesterly flow and possible light precipitation prevent deeper boundary-layer decoupling that would otherwise allow clearer-sky minima to drop several degrees lower. These factors produce a narrow temperature range consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 15 °C but shift quickly with synoptic changes; updated model cycles and the evening forecast package will likely resolve remaining spread between 12 °C and 15 °C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on August 24?
12°C 38%
14°C 35%
16°C 27%
15°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
3%
10°C
8%
11°C
9%
12°C
38%
13°C
22%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
24%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
2%
12°C 38%
14°C 35%
16°C 27%
15°C 27%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$135 KL.
3%
10°C
$46 KL.
8%
11°C
$5 KL.
9%
12°C
$0 KL.
38%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
35%
15°C
$0 KL.
27%
16°C
$0 KL.
27%
17°C
$0 KL.
24%
18°C
$155 KL.
3%
19°C or higher
$5 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low near 14 °C in Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers, keeping trader focus on the 12–14 °C band. Cloudy conditions limit radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while a moist southwesterly flow and possible light precipitation prevent deeper boundary-layer decoupling that would otherwise allow clearer-sky minima to drop several degrees lower. These factors produce a narrow temperature range consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 15 °C but shift quickly with synoptic changes; updated model cycles and the evening forecast package will likely resolve remaining spread between 12 °C and 15 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$346Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low near 14 °C in Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers, keeping trader focus on the 12–14 °C band. Cloudy conditions limit radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while a moist southwesterly flow and possible light precipitation prevent deeper boundary-layer decoupling that would otherwise allow clearer-sky minima to drop several degrees lower. These factors produce a narrow temperature range consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 15 °C but shift quickly with synoptic changes; updated model cycles and the evening forecast package will likely resolve remaining spread between 12 °C and 15 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$346Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Environment Canada guidance and ensemble model runs point to an overnight low near 14 °C in Toronto on August 24 under persistent cloud cover and a 30–40 % chance of showers, keeping trader focus on the 12–14 °C band. Cloudy conditions limit radiational cooling by trapping longwave radiation, while a moist southwesterly flow and possible light precipitation prevent deeper boundary-layer decoupling that would otherwise allow clearer-sky minima to drop several degrees lower. These factors produce a narrow temperature range consistent with late-August climatology, where average lows hover around 15 °C but shift quickly with synoptic changes; updated model cycles and the evening forecast package will likely resolve remaining spread between 12 °C and 15 °C outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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