Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 25?
23°C 35%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
23°C 35%
22°C 24%
24°C 22%
21°C 12%
16°C or below
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
12%
22°C
24%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 8:57 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-elevation location (approximately 2,240 m) and August rainy-season conditions, marked by frequent cloud cover, afternoon thunderstorms, and moisture from tropical waves, typically cap daily maxima near 22–24°C. Official forecasts from sources such as timeanddate and AccuWeather project a high of roughly 22–23°C (73°F) for August 25 amid overcast skies and late-day showers, consistent with the monthly average of 23–24°C. These factors position 24°C as the market favorite at 50% implied probability, while the cluster of 20–23°C outcomes at 25% each reflects model uncertainty around shower timing and any brief clearing that could allow slightly higher readings. Lower or higher extremes remain low-probability given climatological baselines and current steering patterns favoring moderated temperatures.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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