Recent forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project overnight lows in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 30, aligning with the market's dominant 94% implied probability for a 27°C minimum. This positioning reflects sustained monsoon moisture and cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent station data showing a 26.5°C low on August 29 and August climatological averages near 26–27°C. Coastal humidity and typical wind patterns further stabilize temperatures. A clearer sky or sharper model shift toward drier conditions could allow cooling to 25°C or below, though current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Karachi on August 30?
27°C 94%
26°C 7%
22°C 2%
25°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 94%
26°C 7%
22°C 2%
25°C 2%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
94%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Pakistan Meteorological Department and international models project overnight lows in Karachi of 26–27°C on August 30, aligning with the market's dominant 94% implied probability for a 27°C minimum. This positioning reflects sustained monsoon moisture and cloud cover limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, consistent with recent station data showing a 26.5°C low on August 29 and August climatological averages near 26–27°C. Coastal humidity and typical wind patterns further stabilize temperatures. A clearer sky or sharper model shift toward drier conditions could allow cooling to 25°C or below, though current ensemble guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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