Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily maximum of 30°C on August 30, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and convective buildup. Regional station data show afternoon peaks clustered around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and light winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology when monsoon influences suppress extreme warmth. This evidence underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though current model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 30?
30°C 99.8%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$90,308 KL.
$90,308 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$90,308 KL.
$90,308 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
26°C or below
$125 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,766 KL.
<1%
28°C
$9,040 KL.
<1%
29°C
$20,494 KL.
<1%
30°C
$19,332 KL.
100%
31°C
$14,751 KL.
<1%
32°C
$9,715 KL.
<1%
33°C
$4,884 KL.
<1%
34°C
$2,643 KL.
<1%
35°C
$1,174 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$6,384 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily maximum of 30°C on August 30, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and convective buildup. Regional station data show afternoon peaks clustered around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and light winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology when monsoon influences suppress extreme warmth. This evidence underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though current model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$90,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily maximum of 30°C on August 30, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and convective buildup. Regional station data show afternoon peaks clustered around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and light winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology when monsoon influences suppress extreme warmth. This evidence underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though current model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$90,308Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and real-time observations point to a daily maximum of 30°C on August 30, 2026, under a broad low-pressure trough delivering cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limit solar heating and convective buildup. Regional station data show afternoon peaks clustered around 30–31°C amid high humidity (75–95%) and light winds, consistent with typical late-August climatology when monsoon influences suppress extreme warmth. This evidence underpins the overwhelming 99.8% market-implied probability for exactly 30°C. A rapid clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings higher, though current model consensus and ongoing precipitation make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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