**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting real-time model consensus and observational data.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and local meteorological analyses, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies, light winds, and moderate humidity, with current midday readings near 31°C and no indications of further intensification. This aligns with late-August climatology after the end of the “Fu” period, when regional high pressure supports daytime heating without extreme buildup. Official measurements from Chengdu stations will resolve the market once the full daily cycle is complete. The primary risk of deviation would be unexpected full clearing and stronger insolation, though current conditions and model agreement make that scenario remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 30?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$52,013 KL.
$52,013 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$52,013 KL.
$52,013 KL.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Chengdu’s highest temperature on August 30, 2026, reflecting real-time model consensus and observational data.** Multiple forecasts, including Met Office guidance and local meteorological analyses, project a daytime maximum of 33°C under partly cloudy to clearing skies, light winds, and moderate humidity, with current midday readings near 31°C and no indications of further intensification. This aligns with late-August climatology after the end of the “Fu” period, when regional high pressure supports daytime heating without extreme buildup. Official measurements from Chengdu stations will resolve the market once the full daily cycle is complete. The primary risk of deviation would be unexpected full clearing and stronger insolation, though current conditions and model agreement make that scenario remote.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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