Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a daily maximum near 34°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies driven by northwest airflow, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk keeping conditions stable. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30°C and historical peaks often exceed 32°C without extreme heat waves. Market-implied odds at 100% for 34°C reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and real-time observations from stations reporting afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 30s. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or revised official readings dipping to 33°C or below before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,387 KL.
$54,387 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$54,387 KL.
$54,387 KL.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological services project a daily maximum near 34°C for Beijing on August 30 under clear to mostly sunny skies driven by northwest airflow, with light winds and minimal precipitation risk keeping conditions stable. This aligns with late-August climatology, where average highs reach about 30°C and historical peaks often exceed 32°C without extreme heat waves. Market-implied odds at 100% for 34°C reflect trader consensus on these model outputs and real-time observations from stations reporting afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 30s. A realistic challenge would require unexpected cloud cover, stronger northerly winds, or revised official readings dipping to 33°C or below before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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