Clear skies and calm conditions overnight have allowed strong radiative cooling over Beijing, driving surface temperatures down to the 16°C range under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late August. Multiple forecast models show light northerly winds and low dew points limiting heat retention, consistent with historical late-summer minima when cloud cover remains minimal. Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to 16°C as the day’s official low because current observations and model consensus align closely on this threshold. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer air advection from the south could prevent the full nocturnal drop and shift the minimum higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 30?
16°C 99.4%
15°C 2.0%
14°C <1%
20°C <1%
$2,966 KL.
$2,966 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
99%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
16°C 99.4%
15°C 2.0%
14°C <1%
20°C <1%
$2,966 KL.
$2,966 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
13°C or below
$63 KL.
<1%
14°C
$52 KL.
1%
15°C
$108 KL.
2%
16°C
$653 KL.
99%
17°C
$319 KL.
<1%
18°C
$290 KL.
<1%
19°C
$475 KL.
<1%
20°C
$344 KL.
1%
21°C
$391 KL.
<1%
22°C
$241 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$30 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and calm conditions overnight have allowed strong radiative cooling over Beijing, driving surface temperatures down to the 16°C range under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late August. Multiple forecast models show light northerly winds and low dew points limiting heat retention, consistent with historical late-summer minima when cloud cover remains minimal. Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to 16°C as the day’s official low because current observations and model consensus align closely on this threshold. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer air advection from the south could prevent the full nocturnal drop and shift the minimum higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies and calm conditions overnight have allowed strong radiative cooling over Beijing, driving surface temperatures down to the 16°C range under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late August. Multiple forecast models show light northerly winds and low dew points limiting heat retention, consistent with historical late-summer minima when cloud cover remains minimal. Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to 16°C as the day’s official low because current observations and model consensus align closely on this threshold. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer air advection from the south could prevent the full nocturnal drop and shift the minimum higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,966Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies and calm conditions overnight have allowed strong radiative cooling over Beijing, driving surface temperatures down to the 16°C range under a stable high-pressure regime typical of late August. Multiple forecast models show light northerly winds and low dew points limiting heat retention, consistent with historical late-summer minima when cloud cover remains minimal. Traders assign 99.5% implied probability to 16°C as the day’s official low because current observations and model consensus align closely on this threshold. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or warmer air advection from the south could prevent the full nocturnal drop and shift the minimum higher, though such changes appear unlikely given the stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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