Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited daytime heating, driving market-implied odds of 99.5% for a daily high of 27°C or below. Official forecasts from multiple sources show maximum temperatures holding near 27–29°C under overcast skies with high precipitation probability, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. Sustained northeasterly flow and elevated humidity further inhibit warming despite the late-summer season. Clearer breaks or reduced rainfall would be required to push readings materially higher, though current model consensus supports continued suppression through the evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 30?
27°C or below 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$71,467 KL.
$71,467 KL.
27°C or below
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
27°C or below 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$71,467 KL.
$71,467 KL.
27°C or below
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Persistent heavy rain, thunderstorms, and extensive cloud cover over Guangzhou on August 30 have sharply limited daytime heating, driving market-implied odds of 99.5% for a daily high of 27°C or below. Official forecasts from multiple sources show maximum temperatures holding near 27–29°C under overcast skies with high precipitation probability, well below the historical average high of 33°C for the date. Sustained northeasterly flow and elevated humidity further inhibit warming despite the late-summer season. Clearer breaks or reduced rainfall would be required to push readings materially higher, though current model consensus supports continued suppression through the evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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