Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a September 1 maximum near 32–33°C for Guangzhou, with the tight market spread between those outcomes reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to overcast conditions and northerly winds limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below late-August norms, while subtropical high positioning and any frontal influences determine whether solar heating pushes the daily high to 34°C or holds it near 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, but short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength creates the balanced probabilities across 31–34°C thresholds. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 1?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 1?
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
13%
32°C
25%
33°C
25%
34°C
14%
35°C
7%
36°C or higher
9%
32°C 25%
33°C 25%
34°C 14%
31°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$140 KL.
<1%
27°C
$63 KL.
1%
28°C
$0 KL.
1%
29°C
$0 KL.
2%
30°C
$20 KL.
8%
31°C
$5 KL.
13%
32°C
$0 KL.
25%
33°C
$13 KL.
25%
34°C
$7 KL.
14%
35°C
$92 KL.
7%
36°C or higher
$230 KL.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a September 1 maximum near 32–33°C for Guangzhou, with the tight market spread between those outcomes reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to overcast conditions and northerly winds limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below late-August norms, while subtropical high positioning and any frontal influences determine whether solar heating pushes the daily high to 34°C or holds it near 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, but short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength creates the balanced probabilities across 31–34°C thresholds. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$570Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a September 1 maximum near 32–33°C for Guangzhou, with the tight market spread between those outcomes reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to overcast conditions and northerly winds limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below late-August norms, while subtropical high positioning and any frontal influences determine whether solar heating pushes the daily high to 34°C or holds it near 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, but short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength creates the balanced probabilities across 31–34°C thresholds. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$570Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a September 1 maximum near 32–33°C for Guangzhou, with the tight market spread between those outcomes reflecting model consensus on partly cloudy to overcast conditions and northerly winds limiting peak insolation. Persistent monsoon moisture and scattered showers or thunderstorms are expected to moderate temperatures slightly below late-August norms, while subtropical high positioning and any frontal influences determine whether solar heating pushes the daily high to 34°C or holds it near 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 33°C, but short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind strength creates the balanced probabilities across 31–34°C thresholds. Traders are monitoring updated model runs and official briefings ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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