Current numerical weather models from sources including PAGASA indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Manila on September 1, 2026, keeping daytime highs near 29–31 °C under moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the wet-season climatology (historical early-September means of ~31 °C) but reflects suppression from ongoing monsoon activity and a moderate El Niño state that favors below-normal rainfall across parts of Luzon. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With resolution based on the official daily maximum, traders assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to 32 °C while closely weighting 31 °C, underscoring the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on September 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 1?
32°C 45%
31°C 25%
33°C 19%
30°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
25%
32°C
45%
33°C
19%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 25%
33°C 19%
30°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 1, 2026
26°C or below
$223 KL.
<1%
27°C
$0 KL.
<1%
28°C
$0 KL.
1%
29°C
$31 KL.
4%
30°C
$33 KL.
10%
31°C
$64 KL.
25%
32°C
$175 KL.
45%
33°C
$28 KL.
19%
34°C
$0 KL.
2%
35°C
$0 KL.
<1%
36°C or higher
$121 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including PAGASA indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Manila on September 1, 2026, keeping daytime highs near 29–31 °C under moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the wet-season climatology (historical early-September means of ~31 °C) but reflects suppression from ongoing monsoon activity and a moderate El Niño state that favors below-normal rainfall across parts of Luzon. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With resolution based on the official daily maximum, traders assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to 32 °C while closely weighting 31 °C, underscoring the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$675Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models from sources including PAGASA indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Manila on September 1, 2026, keeping daytime highs near 29–31 °C under moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the wet-season climatology (historical early-September means of ~31 °C) but reflects suppression from ongoing monsoon activity and a moderate El Niño state that favors below-normal rainfall across parts of Luzon. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With resolution based on the official daily maximum, traders assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to 32 °C while closely weighting 31 °C, underscoring the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$675Ngày kết thúc
Sep 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 30, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models from sources including PAGASA indicate mostly cloudy conditions with scattered showers and thunderstorms over Manila on September 1, 2026, keeping daytime highs near 29–31 °C under moderate southwesterly flow. This aligns with the wet-season climatology (historical early-September means of ~31 °C) but reflects suppression from ongoing monsoon activity and a moderate El Niño state that favors below-normal rainfall across parts of Luzon. Model spread arises mainly from variable cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift peak temperatures by 1–2 °C. With resolution based on the official daily maximum, traders assign the highest implied probability (36 %) to 32 °C while closely weighting 31 °C, underscoring the narrow range of outcomes expected from the latest guidance.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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