**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 30?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 30?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,987 KL.
$28,987 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$28,987 KL.
$28,987 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
24°C or below
$161 KL.
<1%
25°C
$401 KL.
<1%
26°C
$339 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,410 KL.
<1%
28°C
$6,205 KL.
<1%
29°C
$6,593 KL.
<1%
30°C
$6,359 KL.
100%
31°C
$4,101 KL.
<1%
32°C
$2,228 KL.
<1%
33°C
$163 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,027 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Khối lượng
$28,987Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$28,987Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus at 100% for a 30°C daily maximum in Manila on August 30 reflects consistent forecast guidance from models and agencies showing peak temperatures capped near this level amid the southwest monsoon.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and widespread thunderstorms suppress surface heating, with official projections indicating highs of 28-30°C (roughly 82-86°F) under fresh southwesterly winds. This aligns with Manila’s August climatology of mean highs around 30-31°C, where rain-cooled air masses and limited insolation make excursions above 30°C unlikely on this date. Minor shifts in storm timing or localized clearing could allow brief spikes, but the weight of current observational trends and model agreement supports the market’s near-certainty.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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