Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private meteorology services point to overnight lows of 80–82°F in Miami on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical September 1 minima average near 77°F but recent guidance shows elevated values due to elevated moisture and thunderstorm activity. Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F bins reflects this model agreement and limited downside risk absent an unexpected cold surge or clear-sky breakout, while higher bins remain possible only with stronger daytime heating or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated NHC and local office briefings through the weekend represent the next key data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Miami on September 1?
86-87°F 52%
84-85°F 46%
76-77°F 42%
80-81°F 42%
73°F or below
13%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
52%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92°F or higher
2%
86-87°F 52%
84-85°F 46%
76-77°F 42%
80-81°F 42%
73°F or below
13%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
42%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
42%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
46%
86-87°F
52%
88-89°F
17%
90-91°F
17%
92°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the National Weather Service and private meteorology services point to overnight lows of 80–82°F in Miami on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points, easterly flow, and widespread cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. These conditions align with late-summer climatology, where typical September 1 minima average near 77°F but recent guidance shows elevated values due to elevated moisture and thunderstorm activity. Trader consensus favoring 78–81°F bins reflects this model agreement and limited downside risk absent an unexpected cold surge or clear-sky breakout, while higher bins remain possible only with stronger daytime heating or measurement timing differences at official stations. Updated NHC and local office briefings through the weekend represent the next key data points.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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