Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daytime high of 30–31°C in Karachi on August 31, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating. Recent observations show daily maxima in the 28–31°C range amid reduced rainfall totals this season, consistent with broader El Niño influences suppressing stronger convective activity. Model guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability, with sea-breeze effects and cloud cover keeping temperatures below historical August peaks near 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns heavily, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C outcomes while assigning low odds to outliers above 32°C or below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in steering winds or moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on August 31?
31°C 47%
30°C 36%
32°C 9%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
36%
31°C
47%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 47%
30°C 36%
32°C 9%
29°C 7%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
36%
31°C
47%
32°C
9%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from meteorological agencies points to a daytime high of 30–31°C in Karachi on August 31, driven by typical late-monsoon conditions featuring southwest monsoon flows, high humidity near 70%, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak solar heating. Recent observations show daily maxima in the 28–31°C range amid reduced rainfall totals this season, consistent with broader El Niño influences suppressing stronger convective activity. Model guidance indicates minimal day-to-day variability, with sea-breeze effects and cloud cover keeping temperatures below historical August peaks near 32–33°C. Traders appear to weigh these stable patterns heavily, assigning the highest implied probabilities to 30°C and 31°C outcomes while assigning low odds to outliers above 32°C or below 29°C absent unexpected shifts in steering winds or moisture.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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