**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 30?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 30?
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$41,917 KL.
$41,917 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.8%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
23°C or below <1%
$41,917 KL.
$41,917 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
23°C or below
$2,856 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,307 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,926 KL.
<1%
26°C
$460 KL.
<1%
27°C
$616 KL.
<1%
28°C
$1,223 KL.
<1%
29°C
$11,105 KL.
<1%
30°C
$8,762 KL.
<1%
31°C
$7,691 KL.
100%
32°C
$3,873 KL.
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,097 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,917Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41,917Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Strong model consensus and stable high-pressure conditions underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a 31°C high in Milan on August 30.** Multiple forecasts, including those from ilMeteo.it, WeatherBug, and European numerical models, consistently project a maximum of 31°C under sunny skies, light southerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, with afternoon peaks around 17:00 local time. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the Po Valley, where radiative heating without frontal systems or advection produces modest daytime maxima near 30–32°C. Current observations from nearby stations show temperatures climbing steadily toward this range without signs of deviation. Only an unexpected late-day surge or station-specific measurement variance could shift the outcome, though model agreement and current trends make such changes improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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