Recent forecasts from official Polish meteorological sources and numerical models show Warsaw under southerly flow with partly cloudy skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C. Afternoon surface heating is tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and the approach of a weak occlusion, producing scattered cloud that limits full insolation while still allowing modest warming. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in peak timing and cloud fraction, placing the most likely outcome between the two leading market prices. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the persistent high-pressure ridge to the northeast. Traders are therefore weighing the precise balance between radiative warming and any late-day convective cooling when assigning the narrow 26 °C versus 27 °C probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 30?
26°C 49%
27°C 46%
28°C 3%
25°C 2%
$11,992 KL.
$11,992 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
49%
27°C
46%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 46%
28°C 3%
25°C 2%
$11,992 KL.
$11,992 KL.
Aug 30, 2026
21°C or below
$261 KL.
<1%
22°C
$605 KL.
<1%
23°C
$329 KL.
<1%
24°C
$75 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,625 KL.
2%
26°C
$2,147 KL.
49%
27°C
$3,462 KL.
46%
28°C
$1,774 KL.
3%
29°C
$1,173 KL.
1%
30°C
$280 KL.
<1%
31°C or higher
$263 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Polish meteorological sources and numerical models show Warsaw under southerly flow with partly cloudy skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C. Afternoon surface heating is tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and the approach of a weak occlusion, producing scattered cloud that limits full insolation while still allowing modest warming. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in peak timing and cloud fraction, placing the most likely outcome between the two leading market prices. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the persistent high-pressure ridge to the northeast. Traders are therefore weighing the precise balance between radiative warming and any late-day convective cooling when assigning the narrow 26 °C versus 27 °C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,992Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from official Polish meteorological sources and numerical models show Warsaw under southerly flow with partly cloudy skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C. Afternoon surface heating is tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and the approach of a weak occlusion, producing scattered cloud that limits full insolation while still allowing modest warming. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in peak timing and cloud fraction, placing the most likely outcome between the two leading market prices. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the persistent high-pressure ridge to the northeast. Traders are therefore weighing the precise balance between radiative warming and any late-day convective cooling when assigning the narrow 26 °C versus 27 °C probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,992Ngày kết thúc
Aug 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from official Polish meteorological sources and numerical models show Warsaw under southerly flow with partly cloudy skies, supporting a daytime maximum near 26–27 °C. Afternoon surface heating is tempered by increasing mid-level moisture and the approach of a weak occlusion, producing scattered cloud that limits full insolation while still allowing modest warming. Ensemble guidance exhibits small spread in peak timing and cloud fraction, placing the most likely outcome between the two leading market prices. Historical August maxima in Warsaw average 24–25 °C, so current conditions represent a modest positive anomaly driven by the persistent high-pressure ridge to the northeast. Traders are therefore weighing the precise balance between radiative warming and any late-day convective cooling when assigning the narrow 26 °C versus 27 °C probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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